Talay Daily Brief
Source universe
Sources are kept in three tiers. The tier determines what a source is trusted for: the figure itself, a counter-reading, or timing. The sources used on a given day are also listed at the end of each issue.
Tier 1
Official and institutional sources
This is where the figure itself comes from. An indicator is taken first from the publication of the institution that produces it; a secondary citation is used only when the primary source cannot be reached, and this is then stated.
US monetary and fiscal
Energy and commodities
Security and maritime
Tier 2
Analysis beyond the Atlantic consensus
The layer that counters bias. The reading of Western institutional reports is cross-checked against the publications of these institutions. The aim is not a diversity of opinion but the contradiction between narrative and hard data.
Asia
South Asia
The Gulf and the Middle East
Russia and Eurasia
State media · labelled on every use
Tier 3
Markets and news
The layer for confirmation and timing. This is where we track when a development happened and how the market priced it; on its own it is not treated as a source of analysis.
News agencies and broadcasters
Corporate disclosures
- Company investor relations pages
What we do not do
- No unverified figure is published; an item that cannot be verified is listed as unverified.
- No invented book is recommended; author, publisher and year are verified against the publisher's record.
- No categorical forecasts are made; scenarios carry probability percentages.
- Western sources are never used on their own; they are cross-checked against readings from beyond the Atlantic consensus.
- Writing does not begin until the research lines are complete.
- Every issue states clearly that it is not investment advice.
How the rules are applied: methodology ›