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TALAYINSIGHT

FXIV Macro & Debt

EUR/USD

Euro / US dollar.

1.1224

rate · daily · 5 Nov

1D
−0.4%
30D
−0.4%
1Y
—

Last 12 months · markers link to event pages

1.10631.12651.14681.16701.187327/0221/0410/0630/0717/0905/1119 September 2026 — France-Germany 10-year yield spread passes 100 basis points for the first time since 2012123 September 2026 — Euro area composite PMI rises to 53.1 in September, the fastest growth in about 42 months; probability of an ECB October hike rises to 48%29 October 2026 — Euro hovers near a 17-month low despite ECB tightening bias320 October 2026 — French spread tops 150 basis points ahead of Moody's review421 October 2026 — French borrowing costs press against 5% ahead of Moody's verdict523 October 2026 — France's private sector slips back into contraction in October626 October 2026 — German industry expectations turn positive for the first time in three years729 October 2026 — ECB holds unanimously as Lagarde announces she will leave in February83 November 2026 — Nagel signals a December ECB hike is all but unavoidable9
  1. 119/09 · France-Germany 10-year yield spread passes 100 basis points for the first time since 2012
  2. 223/09 · Euro area composite PMI rises to 53.1 in September, the fastest growth in about 42 months; probability of an ECB October hike rises to 48%
  3. 309/10 · Euro hovers near a 17-month low despite ECB tightening bias
  4. 420/10 · French spread tops 150 basis points ahead of Moody's review
  5. 521/10 · French borrowing costs press against 5% ahead of Moody's verdict
  6. 623/10 · France's private sector slips back into contraction in October
  7. 726/10 · German industry expectations turn positive for the first time in three years
  8. 829/10 · ECB holds unanimously as Lagarde announces she will leave in February
  9. 903/11 · Nagel signals a December ECB hike is all but unavoidable

Why it matters

Europe's position as an energy importer weakens the euro during energy shocks.

Threshold · < 1.0500

Below 1.05 is the zone where the energy shock feeds into euro area growth expectations.

Normal · warning zone < 1.1000

Last 30 observations
DateValuevs previous observation
5 November 20261.1224−0.0043
4 November 20261.1267+0.0088
3 November 20261.1179−0.0037
2 November 20261.1216+0.0044
30 October 20261.1172+0.0042
29 October 20261.1130−0.0003
28 October 20261.1133−0.0017
27 October 20261.1150−0.0038
26 October 20261.1188−0.0005
23 October 20261.1193−0.0012
22 October 20261.1205−0.0029
21 October 20261.1234+0.0019
20 October 20261.1215−0.0010
19 October 20261.1225−0.0028
16 October 20261.1253+0.0045
15 October 20261.1208+0.0013
14 October 20261.1195+0.0007
13 October 20261.1188+0.0007
12 October 20261.1181−0.0025
9 October 20261.1206+0.0020
8 October 20261.1186+0.0009
7 October 20261.1177−0.0092
6 October 20261.1269+0.0065
5 October 20261.1204−0.0021
2 October 20261.1225−0.0073
1 October 20261.1298−0.0057
30 September 20261.13550.0000
29 September 20261.1355−0.0023
28 September 20261.1378−0.0025
25 September 20261.1403—