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TALAYINSIGHT

FXIV Macro & Debt

USD/TRY

US dollar / Turkish lira.

50.05

rate · daily · 5 Nov

1D
+0.0%
30D
+1.8%
1Y
—

Last 12 months · markers link to event pages

43.3545.1847.0048.8350.6627/0221/0410/0630/0717/0905/1116 September 2026 — BIST 100 fell 5.54% to 13,122.58 points as 17 stocks closed at the floor price117 September 2026 — Diesel passed 100 lira a litre in Türkiye for the first time: a third consecutive increase221 September 2026 — Central government debt stock rose by 422.5 billion lira in August to 15.89 trillion lira; foreign-currency share at 51%321 September 2026 — The dollar reaches an all-time high of 48.82 lira as the BIST 100 falls 1.92% at midday to 13,028.71 points421 September 2026 — The 72,825 dwt tanker LR Stephanie is struck in Hormuz and two seafarers wounded; weekend transits fall to 17 ships521 September 2026 — Export producer prices rose 32.60% year on year in August, with the increase in energy reaching 106.24%623 September 2026 — Dollar hits new high of 48.84 lira on 23 September; calculations show CBRT reserves fell $13.9 billion in 4 weeks to $174.5 billion724 September 2026 — BIST 100 falls 2.74% to 12,888 points on 24 September as the 2-year lira bond yield climbs to 37.09%: Fed and oil pressure hit Turkish assets824 September 2026 — CBRT official data: in the week of 18 September gross reserves fell by 4.3 billion dollars to 174.4 billion, net reserves by 6.4 billion to 55.8 billion925 September 2026 — Türkiye's CDS tops 250 for the first time since 27 May: as the $18 billion liquidation of 131 funds proceeds, Erdoğan says no systemic risk; 45 arrested1026 September 2026 — Yılmaz puts the war's impact on inflation at 7 points, citing CBRT calculations; 10-year yield ended the week higher at 32.77% on 25 September1130 September 2026 — BIST 100 enters a bear market after losing 5% in two days1210 October 2026 — Türkiye extends FX-loss exemption in capital-loss tests for another year134 November 2026 — Lira's real value climbs to its highest since February 202014
  1. 116/09 · BIST 100 fell 5.54% to 13,122.58 points as 17 stocks closed at the floor price
  2. 217/09 · Diesel passed 100 lira a litre in Türkiye for the first time: a third consecutive increase
  3. 321/09 · Central government debt stock rose by 422.5 billion lira in August to 15.89 trillion lira; foreign-currency share at 51%
  4. 421/09 · The dollar reaches an all-time high of 48.82 lira as the BIST 100 falls 1.92% at midday to 13,028.71 points
  5. 521/09 · The 72,825 dwt tanker LR Stephanie is struck in Hormuz and two seafarers wounded; weekend transits fall to 17 ships
  6. 621/09 · Export producer prices rose 32.60% year on year in August, with the increase in energy reaching 106.24%
  7. 723/09 · Dollar hits new high of 48.84 lira on 23 September; calculations show CBRT reserves fell $13.9 billion in 4 weeks to $174.5 billion
  8. 824/09 · BIST 100 falls 2.74% to 12,888 points on 24 September as the 2-year lira bond yield climbs to 37.09%: Fed and oil pressure hit Turkish assets
  9. 924/09 · CBRT official data: in the week of 18 September gross reserves fell by 4.3 billion dollars to 174.4 billion, net reserves by 6.4 billion to 55.8 billion
  10. 1025/09 · Türkiye's CDS tops 250 for the first time since 27 May: as the $18 billion liquidation of 131 funds proceeds, Erdoğan says no systemic risk; 45 arrested
  11. 1126/09 · Yılmaz puts the war's impact on inflation at 7 points, citing CBRT calculations; 10-year yield ended the week higher at 32.77% on 25 September
  12. 1230/09 · BIST 100 enters a bear market after losing 5% in two days
  13. 1310/10 · Türkiye extends FX-loss exemption in capital-loss tests for another year
  14. 1404/11 · Lira's real value climbs to its highest since February 2020

Why it matters

The energy import bill and the country risk premium reach the exchange rate first through CDS, then through the balance of payments.

Threshold · > 52.00

Acceleration beyond seasonal patterns signals that the energy-bill channel has passed through to the currency.

Near threshold · warning zone > 50.00

Last 30 observations
DateValuevs previous observation
5 November 202650.05+0.02
4 November 202650.02+0.02
3 November 202650.00+0.03
2 November 202649.97+0.02
30 October 202649.95+0.11
29 October 202649.84−0.00
28 October 202649.84+0.05
27 October 202649.79+0.02
26 October 202649.76+0.02
23 October 202649.74+0.11
22 October 202649.63+0.03
21 October 202649.60+0.02
20 October 202649.58+0.02
19 October 202649.55+0.03
16 October 202649.53+0.11
15 October 202649.42+0.03
14 October 202649.39+0.02
13 October 202649.37+0.03
12 October 202649.34+0.16
9 October 202649.17−0.04
8 October 202649.22+0.02
7 October 202649.19+0.01
6 October 202649.18+0.02
5 October 202649.16+0.01
2 October 202649.15+0.11
1 October 202649.03+0.02
30 September 202649.02+0.02
29 September 202649.00+0.02
28 September 202648.98+0.05
25 September 202648.93—