MediumV Technology Geopolitics & AI18 October 2026, Sunday · 10:47 TRT (UTC+3)
Samsung sends Nvidia memory base die to TSMC's 3nm line
The Seoul Economic Daily reported on 18 October that Samsung will have the base die for its Nvidia-specific NVHBM memory built on TSMC's 3-nanometre process. Nvidia put the same request to SK hynix and Micron; none of the companies confirmed the report on the record.
The base die is the logic chip that sits beneath stacked memory layers and manages them. According to the Seoul Economic Daily, Samsung builds standard HBM4 and HBM4E base dies in its own 4-nanometre foundry, and that turnkey model continues for other customers such as AMD. For NVHBM, unveiled in August 2026, Nvidia asked all 3 suppliers for TSMC's 3-nanometre process and a 6th-generation 1c DRAM core. The report calls it the first partnership between the two companies at the HBM manufacturing stage; earlier cooperation, about 4 years ago, went no further than packaging compatibility.
A 19 October roundup by The Next Web says NVHBM moves the memory controller from the graphics processor to the base die. The physical layer shrinks 60% against standard HBM, bandwidth rises by up to 30% and power draw falls 15%. Industry sources put TSMC's 3-nanometre yield above 90% and Samsung's 2-nanometre process at roughly 60%. Tech Monitor notes that this comparison sets different nodes against each other and that the figures are unverified.
Supply is tight. UBS expects HBM demand to rise 91% next year to about 61.5 billion gigabits while new supply stops at 54.6 billion gigabits, a gap of roughly 10%. TSMC is adding 2 new 3-nanometre lines at Fab 18 in Tainan, due onstream in 2027 and the first half of 2028. Samsung is also testing production of the NVHBM base die in its own foundry in case TSMC capacity proves insufficient. Counterpoint data reported by MoneyToday put second-quarter 2026 HBM revenue shares at 50% for SK hynix, 33% for Samsung and 18% for Micron.
Talay assessment
Bottom line
If the report holds, the most valuable logic layer in AI memory shifts from Korean memory makers to a single foundry in Taiwan. Nvidia gains uniform performance and one validation path across its suppliers; in exchange the memory chain is tied one link closer to TSMC, already the concentration point in leading-edge logic. With no company confirming, this reading rests for now on a single-source report.
Likely effects
- Taiwan concentrationNegative6 months+
Moving the base die to TSMC means a disruption in the Strait would halt not just processor supply but AI memory supply as well.
- Samsung's foundryNegative1–6 months
A 2-nanometre yield around 60% lost out to TSMC at the most valuable customer; the turnkey model is left to customers other than Nvidia.
- HBM supplyNegative1–6 months
The 10% gap UBS projects could keep memory prices elevated until TSMC's new 3-nanometre lines come onstream in 2027.
Possibilities, ranked
- 1All three suppliers move to TSMC55%
SK hynix and Micron accept Nvidia's request and NVHBM base die production concentrates on TSMC's 3-nanometre lines.
Watch: Comment on the NVHBM production model at SK hynix's third-quarter presentation on 29 October
- 2A mixed model30%
One supplier passes Nvidia validation with its own base die, or Samsung becomes a second source in its own foundry.
Watch: Samsung foundry statements on 2-nanometre yields
- 3The plan is deferred15%
Capacity or cost pushes the NVHBM timetable back and Nvidia continues with standard HBM4E.
Watch: A change in the memory specification on Nvidia's next-generation platform roadmap
Probabilities are calibrated judgement based on the sources, not measurement, and are revised as new information arrives. Not investment advice.
Market reaction
Indicators affected
- HBM supply gap (2027)▼ ~10%
- TSMC 3nm yield▲ >90%
- Bandwidth gain▲ up to 30%
Sources
- Seoul Economic Daily — Samsung to Use TSMC for Base Die in Nvidia's Custom HBM
- The Next Web — Nvidia reportedly wants all its HBM suppliers to use TSMC's 3nm process
- Tech Monitor — Samsung collaborates with TSMC for Nvidia's custom HBM chips
- MoneyToday — SK hynix poised for another record quarter on HBM4 demand and rising memory prices