59
bp · 4 Nov
- 1D
- −1 bp
- 30D
- −2 bp
- 1Y
- —
Last 12 months · markers link to event pages
Why it matters
One of the most direct financial-market indicators of regional escalation risk.
Threshold · > 180
The threshold is the level at which regional escalation is priced in.
Normal · warning zone > 140
| Date | Value | vs previous observation |
|---|---|---|
| 4 November 2026 | 59 | −1 |
| 3 November 2026 | 60 | −0 |
| 2 November 2026 | 60 | −1 |
| 30 October 2026 | 61 | +2 |
| 29 October 2026 | 59 | −1 |
| 28 October 2026 | 61 | −1 |
| 27 October 2026 | 61 | +1 |
| 26 October 2026 | 60 | −3 |
| 23 October 2026 | 63 | +3 |
| 22 October 2026 | 60 | +1 |
| 21 October 2026 | 59 | +0 |
| 20 October 2026 | 59 | +0 |
| 19 October 2026 | 59 | +0 |
| 16 October 2026 | 58 | +0 |
| 15 October 2026 | 58 | +1 |
| 14 October 2026 | 58 | −0 |
| 12 October 2026 | 58 | −0 |
| 9 October 2026 | 58 | −0 |
| 8 October 2026 | 58 | −0 |
| 7 October 2026 | 59 | −0 |
| 6 October 2026 | 59 | −2 |
| 5 October 2026 | 61 | −0 |
| 2 October 2026 | 61 | +1 |
| 1 October 2026 | 60 | +1 |
| 30 September 2026 | 59 | −1 |
| 29 September 2026 | 60 | +1 |
| 28 September 2026 | 59 | +0 |
| 25 September 2026 | 59 | +2 |
| 24 September 2026 | 57 | +0 |
| 23 September 2026 | 57 | — |