
I Geo-Economics & ChokepointsSub-Saharan Africa
ISS warns that criminalising artisanal miners hands Africa's mines to crime networks
- Institution
- Institute for Security Studies (ISS Today)
- Author
- Titilope F. Ajayi, Oluwole Ojewale
- Country · language
- South Africa · English
- Affiliation
- Independent think tank
Summary
The ISS piece of 28 October opens with the deaths of 37 young people and children in September 2026 in the custody of the NSCDC civil defence corps in Minna, in Nigeria's Niger State. They had been arrested as illegal miners in raids by the Mining Marshals, a special NSCDC unit. An investigative panel found that the deaths were caused by suffocation in inhumane conditions and were preventable. The authors place the case within a wider pattern of violence by security forces against miners, including extrajudicial killings, in Cameroon, the DRC and the Central African Republic.
According to the piece, about 13.2 million artisanal and small-scale miners work in Africa; in Central Africa the number rose from about 100,000 in 2013 to 2.6 million. The sector brings in an estimated $3–5 billion in foreign exchange a year, supplied 32–41% of Africa's gold output in 2022 and 52–74% of global tantalum production in 2017–2023. The authors argue that slow and costly licensing pushes miners outside the law, while criminalisation drives the trade underground and makes it easier for armed groups to levy 'taxes' and protection money. The piece notes that political elites and soldiers have stakes in mining in Chad and South Africa, and that enforcement remains selective.
The ISS sets out four recommendations: legislation defining the scope of artisanal mining, protection of miners from abuse by police and private security, treating miners as partners in the extractive economy rather than criminals, and alternative livelihoods for young people. The piece cites the DRC's creation in April 2026 of a US-backed $100 million mine guard force as an example of the securitisation of mineral wealth.
Blind spot
Although the piece stresses the sector's large share of tantalum and gold, it does not discuss what that share means for critical mineral supply chains and buyer countries — that is, the effect of criminalisation on global prices and traceability. The cost of the recommendations, which states would fund them, and how licensing reform would work at sites controlled by armed groups also go unanswered.
Talay assessment
Bottom line
The ISS reading holds that managing artisanal mining in Africa as a security problem both carries a human rights cost and leaves critical mineral supply to criminal networks. In a sector that supplies more than half of the world's tantalum, that means a supply chain traceability problem. Steps such as the DRC's $100 million guard force show that securitisation is continuing in the near term.
Likely effects
- Critical mineral supplyNegative1–6 months
Driving underground a sector that supplies 52–74% of tantalum output makes provenance harder for buyers to trace and raises compliance costs.
- Central African securityNegative6 months+
Protection money extracted from miners sustains the financing of armed groups and prolongs conflicts.
- Gold and FX revenuePositive6 months+
If licensing reform brings miners into the formal system, a larger share of the $3–5 billion in annual foreign exchange earnings enters official channels.
Possibilities, ranked
- 1Securitisation continues60%
States carry on with guard units and raids, and reform legislation is delayed.
Watch: Deployment of the DRC's mine guard force and reports of new raids
- 2Partial licensing reform30%
A few countries such as Nigeria and Ghana simplify licensing, and the number of registered miners rises.
Watch: A Nigerian decision to implement the Minna panel's recommendations
- 3A regional framework10%
A binding framework for artisanal mining is adopted at African Union level.
Watch: The African Union putting an artisanal mining framework on its agenda
Probabilities are calibrated judgement based on the sources, not measurement, and are revised as new information arrives. Not investment advice.
Original publication: issafrica.org · 28 October 2026
This page summarises the institution's view and does not reflect the view of Talay Insight. No direct quotation is used.