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Sovereign debtIV Macro & Debt

US 30-year yield

US Treasury 30-year yield; the benchmark for the global long-term cost of capital.

5.35

yield % · daily · 16 Sept

1D
−1 bp
30D
+4 bp
1Y

Last 12 months · markers link to event pages

4.634.835.045.245.4402/0309/0418/0529/0606/0816/0915 September 2026 — US 10-year yield hits 5.04%, its highest level since July 2007116 September 2026 — Fed raises its target range to 3.75–4.00% in its first rate hike since July 20232
  1. 115/09 · US 10-year yield hits 5.04%, its highest level since July 2007
  2. 216/09 · Fed raises its target range to 3.75–4.00% in its first rate hike since July 2023

Why it matters

Energy-driven inflation expectations push the long end higher, and this passes through to emerging market borrowing costs.

Threshold · > 5.50

Above 5.5 per cent is the zone that markedly narrows global risk appetite.

Near threshold · warning zone > 5.20

Last 30 observations
DateValuevs previous observation
16 September 20265.350.01
15 September 20265.36+0.02
14 September 20265.340.01
11 September 20265.350.02
10 September 20265.37+0.09
9 September 20265.28+0.03
8 September 20265.25+0.01
4 September 20265.240.01
3 September 20265.250.02
2 September 20265.270.00
1 September 20265.27+0.02
31 August 20265.25+0.03
28 August 20265.22+0.03
27 August 20265.19+0.01
26 August 20265.18+0.01
25 August 20265.170.06
24 August 20265.230.04
21 August 20265.27+0.04
20 August 20265.23+0.04
19 August 20265.190.09
18 August 20265.280.03
17 August 20265.31+0.06
14 August 20265.25+0.04
13 August 20265.210.03
12 August 20265.240.00
11 August 20265.240.01
10 August 20265.25+0.06
7 August 20265.190.03
6 August 20265.22+0.05
5 August 20265.17