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TALAYINSIGHT

Sovereign debtIV Macro & Debt

US 30-year yield

US Treasury 30-year yield; the benchmark for the global long-term cost of capital.

5.28

yield % · daily · 4 Nov

1D
−4 bp
30D
−38 bp
1Y
—

Last 12 months · markers link to event pages

4.604.895.195.485.7702/0317/0408/0628/0716/0904/1115 September 2026 — US 10-year yield hits 5.04%, its highest level since July 2007116 September 2026 — Fed raises its target range to 3.75–4.00% in its first rate hike since July 2023221 September 2026 — The Fed's Goolsbee: if inflation is coming from demand, the rate response will be sharper and front-loaded323 September 2026 — US Treasury sells $70 billion of 5-year notes at 5.033%; after hot PMIs the 10-year yield hits 5.10%, its highest since 2007424 September 2026 — US Treasury sells 44 billion dollars of 7-year notes at 5.085%: highest yield since April 1993 as indirect demand falls to 57.2%525 September 2026 — Michigan consumer sentiment at a 4-month low of 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations jump to 4.6%; US 30-year yield rises to 5.50%628 September 2026 — US ten-year Treasury yield climbs to a 19-year high729 September 2026 — US long-dated yield holds above 5.5% despite Treasury buybacks81 October 2026 — US Treasuries pull back from their peak as two-year yield drops 10 basis points92 October 2026 — US economy adds only 29,000 jobs in September105 October 2026 — Nasdaq hits record as Treasury yields touch 24-year high116 October 2026 — Fed's Schmid and Daly keep the door open to hikes despite high yields128 October 2026 — Weak demand at US 30-year auction breaks with strong 10-year sale1320 October 2026 — Thirty-year Treasury yield slips below the 20-year point1422 October 2026 — US 10-year yield slips below 5% as tech sell-off deepens1527 October 2026 — Domestic buyers displaced foreigners at the US two-year auction163 November 2026 — Treasury yields climb on election day ahead of the refunding statement17
  1. 115/09 · US 10-year yield hits 5.04%, its highest level since July 2007
  2. 216/09 · Fed raises its target range to 3.75–4.00% in its first rate hike since July 2023
  3. 321/09 · The Fed's Goolsbee: if inflation is coming from demand, the rate response will be sharper and front-loaded
  4. 423/09 · US Treasury sells $70 billion of 5-year notes at 5.033%; after hot PMIs the 10-year yield hits 5.10%, its highest since 2007
  5. 524/09 · US Treasury sells 44 billion dollars of 7-year notes at 5.085%: highest yield since April 1993 as indirect demand falls to 57.2%
  6. 625/09 · Michigan consumer sentiment at a 4-month low of 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations jump to 4.6%; US 30-year yield rises to 5.50%
  7. 728/09 · US ten-year Treasury yield climbs to a 19-year high
  8. 829/09 · US long-dated yield holds above 5.5% despite Treasury buybacks
  9. 901/10 · US Treasuries pull back from their peak as two-year yield drops 10 basis points
  10. 1002/10 · US economy adds only 29,000 jobs in September
  11. 1105/10 · Nasdaq hits record as Treasury yields touch 24-year high
  12. 1206/10 · Fed's Schmid and Daly keep the door open to hikes despite high yields
  13. 1308/10 · Weak demand at US 30-year auction breaks with strong 10-year sale
  14. 1420/10 · Thirty-year Treasury yield slips below the 20-year point
  15. 1522/10 · US 10-year yield slips below 5% as tech sell-off deepens
  16. 1627/10 · Domestic buyers displaced foreigners at the US two-year auction
  17. 1703/11 · Treasury yields climb on election day ahead of the refunding statement

Why it matters

Energy-driven inflation expectations push the long end higher, and this passes through to emerging market borrowing costs.

Threshold · > 5.50

Above 5.5 per cent is the zone that markedly narrows global risk appetite.

Near threshold · warning zone > 5.20

Last 30 observations
DateValuevs previous observation
4 November 20265.28−0.04
3 November 20265.32+0.04
2 November 20265.28−0.03
30 October 20265.31−0.01
29 October 20265.32−0.05
28 October 20265.37+0.07
27 October 20265.30−0.01
26 October 20265.31−0.02
23 October 20265.33+0.04
22 October 20265.29−0.13
21 October 20265.420.00
20 October 20265.42−0.06
19 October 20265.48+0.05
16 October 20265.430.00
15 October 20265.43−0.09
14 October 20265.52−0.04
13 October 20265.56−0.04
9 October 20265.600.00
8 October 20265.60−0.07
7 October 20265.67+0.03
6 October 20265.64−0.02
5 October 20265.66+0.03
2 October 20265.63+0.02
1 October 20265.61−0.03
30 September 20265.64+0.05
29 September 20265.59+0.03
28 September 20265.56+0.07
25 September 20265.49+0.02
24 September 20265.47+0.07
23 September 20265.40—