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VI Energy Politics & Supply SecuritySouth Asia

From Bengaluru, BRICS and the SCO offer India clean tech, not oil

Cochin Port, Vallarpadam Island, Kerala, India (2026)Photo: Rangan Datta Wiki / Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0 · resized · Source
Institution
Takshashila Institution
Author
Bhumika Sevkani
Country · language
India · English
Affiliation
Independent think tank

Summary

In Policy Advisory 2026-21 of 7 October 2026 from the Bengaluru-based Takshashila Institution, Bhumika Sevkani writes that energy security dominated the agendas of both the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and BRICS this year. Her thesis is plain: neither grouping can guarantee India oil and gas supply. India should use these platforms for clean technology cooperation, investment and supply chain diversification.

Sevkani draws the limits of both groupings with numbers. On 2025 data, energy accounts for about 62% of Russia's exports, 51% of Kazakhstan's and about 90% of Turkmenistan's, so supply exists in the region. But India has no land access to Central Asia through Pakistan, and the International North–South Transport Corridor has been under construction for more than 20 years. China, meanwhile, has invested more than $52.5 billion in over 160 power and renewables projects across SCO countries.

On finance, the author highlights the New Development Bank. Its clean energy lending rose from $1.2 billion in 2017 to $3.3 billion in 2024, and as of June 2026, 30% of project costs are financed in local currency. The bank plans to issue 25,000 crore rupees of rupee-denominated bonds over five years. Sevkani recommends that India build a pipeline of bankable projects so that this capital does not sit idle.

Among the paper's eight recommendations: position India as the main alternative to China in clean technology, and develop common battery standards with the BRICS smart grid and storage centre. Another is to push completion of the Iran–Azerbaijan rail link. Against a 2026 US law threatening tariffs of up to 100% on buyers of Russian oil, the author also suggests seeking a narrow sanctions waiver for energy purchases from the region. She acknowledges that rupee–rouble trade has stalled and that surplus rupees are piling up in special accounts.

Blind spot

The paper barely discusses the fact that India's main supply vulnerability lies in the Gulf and Hormuz; it does not measure how far BRICS member Gulf producers could prioritise India during a conflict. The goal of becoming an alternative to China in clean technology is also put forward without figures on how dependent India is today on China for battery and solar inputs.

Talay assessment

Bottom line

Takshashila's reading reflects a realist wing of New Delhi's debate on strategic autonomy: BRICS and the SCO are a channel for finance and technology, not a guarantee of supply. Clean energy lending of $3.3 billion a year and a 30% local-currency share are meaningful but small next to India's energy import bill. The most likely path is that India uses these platforms for limited project finance and standard-setting while continuing to rely on bilateral deals for oil.

Likely effects

  • Energy financePositive1–6 months

    The 25,000 crore rupee-denominated bond programme could open additional funding for clean energy projects in India without currency risk.

  • Central Asian supplyNegative6 months+

    Until land access and a corridor delay of more than 20 years are resolved, Central Asian energy remains an option for India only on paper.

  • Sanctions riskNegativeWeeks

    The threat of US tariffs of up to 100% makes India's energy purchases from Russia and Iran costly, even within a BRICS framework.

Possibilities, ranked

  1. 1
    A limited finance channel55%

    India uses BRICS and the SCO for clean energy finance and standards, and relies on bilateral deals for oil.

    Watch: The New Development Bank's first rupee bond issue and new clean energy loans in India

  2. 2
    A corridor breakthrough25%

    Progress on the Iran–Azerbaijan rail link brings Central Asian energy back onto India's agenda.

    Watch: A financing or construction decision on the missing rail section of the North–South corridor

  3. 3
    Sanctions pressure prevails20%

    US tariffs take effect and India keeps energy cooperation within BRICS at a low profile.

    Watch: India's inclusion in a US tariff decision targeting buyers of Russian oil

Probabilities are calibrated judgement based on the sources, not measurement, and are revised as new information arrives. Not investment advice.

Original publication: takshashila.org.in · 7 October 2026

This page summarises the institution's view and does not reflect the view of Talay Insight. No direct quotation is used.