ChokepointsI Geo-Economics
Bab el-Mandeb transits
Number of commercial vessels transiting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait per day.
36
ships/day · daily · 25 Oct
- 1D
- +71.4%
- 30D
- +24.1%
- 1Y
- —
Last 12 months · markers link to event pages
- 110/09 · Houthis seize the port of Mocha and the Perim and Hanish islands in the Bab el-Mandeb
- 221/09 · Houthis announce 2 operations against Riyadh and Yanbu, and Trump halts the Yemen strike despite bombs already loaded
- 322/09 · Up to 169 killed in 3 days over Yemen's Kahbub heights; casualty figures from the parties and the WHO do not match
- 424/09 · 10 commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 23 September, 9 of them inbound to the Gulf; preliminary data for 22 September revised from 3 to 7 ships
- 524/09 · Tracked Hormuz transits fell to 9 on 24 September, 8 of them outbound; 23 September revised from 10 to 14, while The National gave 13 for the same day
- 628/09 · Yanbu exports resume, but war risk insurance stays high
- 729/09 · Saudi oil swings back to Hormuz as Bab el-Mandeb flows halve
- 804/10 · Hormuz tanker attacks turn almost daily, yet transits still rise
- 908/10 · Saudi coalition answers airport attacks by striking 82 Houthi targets
- 1009/10 · Yemen's government claims Bab el-Mandeb as Houthis say they repelled it
Why it matters
As transits fall, Asia–Europe trade diverts to the Cape of Good Hope; freight rates and delivery times increase.
Threshold · < 25
The threshold is the level at which major container lines reroute en masse.
Normal · warning zone < 30
| Date | Value | vs previous observation |
|---|---|---|
| 25 October 2026 | 36 | +15 |
| 24 October 2026 | 21 | −11 |
| 23 October 2026 | 32 | +9 |
| 22 October 2026 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 October 2026 | 21 | −12 |
| 20 October 2026 | 33 | −3 |
| 19 October 2026 | 36 | +4 |
| 18 October 2026 | 32 | +3 |
| 17 October 2026 | 29 | +4 |
| 16 October 2026 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 October 2026 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 October 2026 | 24 | +7 |
| 13 October 2026 | 17 | −17 |
| 12 October 2026 | 34 | +3 |
| 11 October 2026 | 31 | +9 |
| 10 October 2026 | 22 | −2 |
| 9 October 2026 | 24 | −1 |
| 8 October 2026 | 25 | −10 |
| 7 October 2026 | 35 | +2 |
| 6 October 2026 | 33 | +5 |
| 5 October 2026 | 28 | −6 |
| 4 October 2026 | 34 | +4 |
| 3 October 2026 | 30 | +4 |
| 2 October 2026 | 26 | −2 |
| 1 October 2026 | 28 | +6 |
| 30 September 2026 | 22 | −15 |
| 29 September 2026 | 37 | +7 |
| 28 September 2026 | 30 | +3 |
| 27 September 2026 | 27 | −2 |
| 26 September 2026 | 29 | — |