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ChokepointsI Geo-Economics

Bab el-Mandeb transits

Number of commercial vessels transiting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait per day.

36

ships/day · daily · 25 Oct

1D
+71.4%
30D
+24.1%
1Y
—

Last 12 months · markers link to event pages

102233445601/0318/0404/0622/0707/0925/1010 September 2026 — Houthis seize the port of Mocha and the Perim and Hanish islands in the Bab el-Mandeb121 September 2026 — Houthis announce 2 operations against Riyadh and Yanbu, and Trump halts the Yemen strike despite bombs already loaded222 September 2026 — Up to 169 killed in 3 days over Yemen's Kahbub heights; casualty figures from the parties and the WHO do not match324 September 2026 — 10 commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 23 September, 9 of them inbound to the Gulf; preliminary data for 22 September revised from 3 to 7 ships424 September 2026 — Tracked Hormuz transits fell to 9 on 24 September, 8 of them outbound; 23 September revised from 10 to 14, while The National gave 13 for the same day528 September 2026 — Yanbu exports resume, but war risk insurance stays high629 September 2026 — Saudi oil swings back to Hormuz as Bab el-Mandeb flows halve74 October 2026 — Hormuz tanker attacks turn almost daily, yet transits still rise88 October 2026 — Saudi coalition answers airport attacks by striking 82 Houthi targets99 October 2026 — Yemen's government claims Bab el-Mandeb as Houthis say they repelled it10
  1. 110/09 · Houthis seize the port of Mocha and the Perim and Hanish islands in the Bab el-Mandeb
  2. 221/09 · Houthis announce 2 operations against Riyadh and Yanbu, and Trump halts the Yemen strike despite bombs already loaded
  3. 322/09 · Up to 169 killed in 3 days over Yemen's Kahbub heights; casualty figures from the parties and the WHO do not match
  4. 424/09 · 10 commodity vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 23 September, 9 of them inbound to the Gulf; preliminary data for 22 September revised from 3 to 7 ships
  5. 524/09 · Tracked Hormuz transits fell to 9 on 24 September, 8 of them outbound; 23 September revised from 10 to 14, while The National gave 13 for the same day
  6. 628/09 · Yanbu exports resume, but war risk insurance stays high
  7. 729/09 · Saudi oil swings back to Hormuz as Bab el-Mandeb flows halve
  8. 804/10 · Hormuz tanker attacks turn almost daily, yet transits still rise
  9. 908/10 · Saudi coalition answers airport attacks by striking 82 Houthi targets
  10. 1009/10 · Yemen's government claims Bab el-Mandeb as Houthis say they repelled it

Why it matters

As transits fall, Asia–Europe trade diverts to the Cape of Good Hope; freight rates and delivery times increase.

Threshold · < 25

The threshold is the level at which major container lines reroute en masse.

Normal · warning zone < 30

Last 30 observations
DateValuevs previous observation
25 October 202636+15
24 October 202621−11
23 October 202632+9
22 October 202623+2
21 October 202621−12
20 October 202633−3
19 October 202636+4
18 October 202632+3
17 October 202629+4
16 October 202625+1
15 October 2026240
14 October 202624+7
13 October 202617−17
12 October 202634+3
11 October 202631+9
10 October 202622−2
9 October 202624−1
8 October 202625−10
7 October 202635+2
6 October 202633+5
5 October 202628−6
4 October 202634+4
3 October 202630+4
2 October 202626−2
1 October 202628+6
30 September 202622−15
29 September 202637+7
28 September 202630+3
27 September 202627−2
26 September 202629—